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January 29, 2016

The Money Chase: Incumbent Edition

I have had more than one elected official tell me you never stop raining money, even if you think you are never going to run for office again. In this next post looking at the Campaign Finance reports, this statement rings absolutely true. 2018 will see at least four of the five current sitting members of the County Council unable to run for the County Council again. Only Jon Weinstein is legally permitted to run again for this office. That being said, here is where each of them stand with fundraising as of January 13th per the Maryland Campaign Finance Database (check my numbers here:

COUNTY COUNCIL
Official District Raised 1/15/15-1/13/16 Cash on Hand
Jon Weinstein 1 $29,980.00 $34,567.84
Calvin Ball 2 $63,043.72 $50,443.36
Jen Terrasa 3 $14,268.15 $21,302.22
Mary Kay Sigaty 4 $250.00 $31,113.64
Greg Fox 5 $49,025.00 $43,525.02

Right now, the conventional wisdom is Calvin Ball is running for County Executive although you wonder if Allan Kittleman’s half-a-million warchest might be a deterrent. To date, I have not heard anything about the other three term-limited councilpeople on what their plans are. Mary Kay Sigaty raised little money this past year, but has a surprisingly large warchest partly due to the fact she had no opposition in either the primary race or General Election race in 2014. As you can see, Jen Terrasa and Greg Fox are still raking in the money as if they plan on doing something later on. Maybe hoping for a Deleagte seat to open up on the state level? Moving up to the Maryland State Senate, here is where the three current State Senators serving Howard COunty currently stand:

STATE SENATE
Official District Raised 1/15/15-1/13/16 Cash on Hand
Gail Bates 9 $30,660.04 $37,814.31
Ed Kasemeyer 12 $50,535.00 $51,997.92
Guy Guzzone 13 $77,595.03 $144,428.71

All three are well positioned for another run if they decide to go for re-election. And here are the current cash-on-hand totals for the current sitting members of the Maryland House of Delegates:

HOUSE OF DELEGATES
Official District Raised 1/15/15-1/13/16 Cash on Hand
Warren Miller 9A $18,915.00 $22,208.13
Trent Kittleman 9A $6,425.00 $7,420.09
Bob Flanagan 9B $10,510.00 $9,678.62
Eric Ebersole 12 $9,240.00 $9,713.20
Terri Hill 12 $8,602.00 $9,893.34
Clarence Lam 12 $15,470.00 $33,656.73
Vanessa Atterbeary 13 $9,855.00 $9,488.80
Shane Pendergrass 13 $3,710.70 $54,449.56
Frank Turner 13 $5,537.89 $22,584.38

While these numbers at the state level are great to look at, the caveat is that other than District 9B (which is more evenly balanced although with a slight lean to the Democrats), all these districts have been so heavily gerrymandered to favor one party (9 and 9A for Republicans) or the other (12 and 13 for the Democrats) that money is almost inconsequential in these races. In order for a Democrat to win in either 9/9A or a Republican to win in 12/13, they have the added complication of convincing someone they are hoping to get money from that they even have a remote chance of overcoming the built-in partisan disadvantage they are facing.


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