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Me Begging

5/11/2008

Mothers Day Open Thread

Happy Mothers Day to all the Moms out there, especially to my Mom who I grow to love and appreciate more every day….

Posted by Dave at 8:29 am
Filed under: General | Comments (26) | Display Comments On Separate Page

5/10/2008

WV: Hillary Crushing Obama By 43%

Here is yet another poll, this time from American Research Group, that shows Barack Obama is about to get his posterior handed to him in the state of West Virginia.

PRESIDENT - WEST VIRGINIA - DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 66%
Barack Obama 23%

So if John McCain not getting 23%-27% of the vote in North Carolina and Indiana is supposedly some sort of repudiation of the presumptive Republican nominee John McCain, what should we call a 43% defeat for the supposed presumptive Democratic nominee Barack Obama?

This poll was done May 7-8 among 600 likely voters.

How Many States Are There?

He must be including Cananda….

Now I realize he misspoke and most like meant “forty-seven”, not “fifty-seven”, as he is talking about the 48 contiguous states. But Democrats like to jump on John McCain every time he makes a slip of the tongue, so turnabout is fair play….

Of course, I am sure Hillary would like it if there a few extra states to help her catch up….

5/9/2008

Presidential Polls Form MI, OR, VA and NC

Here is something to take with you into the weekend. If you read the comments below, in addition to having a lot of time on your hands, you may have already seen these polls. Here are new Presidential poll results from Scott Rasmussen for the states of Oregon, Michigan, North Carolina and Virginia.

PRESIDENT - OREGON
Clinton (D) 46%
McCain (R) 40%
Obama (D) 52%
McCain (R) 38%

PRESIDENT - MICHIGAN

McCain (R) 44%
Clinton (D) 44%
McCain (R) 45%
Obama (D) 44%

PRESIDENT - VIRGINIA

McCain (R) 47%
Clinton (D) 41%
McCain (R) 47%
Obama (D) 44%

PRESIDENT - NORTH CAROLINA

McCain (R) 43%
Clinton (D) 40%
McCain (R) 48%
Obama (D) 45%

The NC and VA polls were done May 8th and the MI and OR polls were done May 7th, all among 500 likely voters.

these numbers do change the Electoral College Watch in opposing directions. Hillary pickups Michigan and extends her lead to 290-248 over McCain. On the flip side, giving Michigan to McCain puts him over 300 electoral votes in his match up against Obama.

US Senate Polls From VA, OR, MI and NC

Scott Rasmussen released new polls for the US Senate races in Virginia, Oregon, Michigan and North Carolina that are not great news for Republicans. First, no surprise that Carl Levin will have no problem keeping his seat in Michigan.

US SENATE - MICHIGAN
Carl Levin (D-inc) 54%
Jack Hoogendyk (R) 37%

Hoogendyk is a member of the Michigan House of Representatives. Also no surprise that Democrat Mark Warner is having no problems in Virginia in his battle against Jim Gilmore.

US SENATE - VIRGINIA
Mark Warner (D) 55%
Jim Gilmore (R) 37%

Gilmore has never been closer than 16% in any poll out of Virginia. moving to two GOP incumbents, Oregon Senator Gordon Smith is barely ahead of his Democratic challengers while Elizabeth Dole is shown 1% behind in North Carolina.

US SENATE - OREGON

Gordon Smith (R-inc) 45%
Jeff Merkley (D) 42%
Gordon Smith (R-inc) 47%
Steve Novick (D) 41%

US SENATE - NORTH CAROLINA
Kay Hagan (D) 48%
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc) 47%

While it might seem easy to dismiss the NC poll, the same poll shows Republican Pat McCrory with a decent lead over Democrat Bev Perdue in the gubernatorial race.

GOVERNOR - NORTH CAROLINA
Pat McCrory (R) 45%
Bev Perdue (D) 39%

The NC and VA polls were done May 8th while the MI and OR polls were done May 7th, all among 500 likely voters in each state.

The “Gutless Wonders”

After listening to the three liberal hosts of Morning Joe (including the increasingly liberal Tiki Barber) whine and complain that Hillary is destroying the Democratic Party by refusing to drop out of the Democratic race, Pat Buchanan chimed in (and was backed up by the liberal Mike Barnicle of all people) and pointed out that if the Democrats are worried about long-term damage to the party and want to end the primary and force Hillary out, they could do it today. The Super Delegates, which Pat Buchanan referred to as “gutless wonders”, are the true people who are doing the long-term damage to the party with their own refusal to declare their support for Obama and make it mathematically impossible for Hillary to win. According to the latest numbers at Real Clear Politics, Obama has 1852 total delegates. There are roughly 250 super delegates left who have not declared. He needs 2025 total delegates for the nomination. The math is there for this race to be ended today if the Super Delegates would make their damn decision….

I know I have seen numerous articles and watched numerous reports over the past few months about how there are supposedly large chunks of “super delegates” who are poised to support Barack Obama after the “upcoming primary”, yet every primary passes and we never actually see them come out and give their support to him in large enough numbers to end things. So why should Hillary drop out? There was a new poll from a Democratic polling firm that shows Hillary leading Barack Obama by a ridiculous 40% (63%-23%) in West Virginia. Polls in Kentucky show similar numbers with Hillary crushing Obama. So if Hillary is still winning these states by these huge margins and the “Super Delegates” refuse to come out in large enough numbers to mathematically give Obama the nomination regardless of what happens, then what incentive is there for Hillary to drop out?

Pat Buchanan has it right, the problem is not Hillary staying in the race - the problem is the “gutless wonders” (in Buchanan’s words) who refuse to end this race when they have every ability to do it by throwing their support to Obama today. And I agree….

5/8/2008

MO: McCain Retakes Lead Over Hillary

A new poll from Scott Rasmussen has John McCain retaking the lead in the state of Missouri over Hillary, which is probably pointless now since Barack Obama is most likely to be the nominee.

PRESIDENT - MISSOURI
McCain (R) 47%
Obama (D) 41%
McCain (R) 45%
Hillary (D) 43%

Meanwhile, the Governor’s seat in Missouri is as good as gone for Republicans.

GOVERNOR - MISSOURI
Jay Nixon (D) 51%
Kenny Hulshof (R) 35%
Jay Nixon (D) 51%
Sarah Steelman (R) 35%

Both these polls were done May 6th among 500 likely voters.

The Presidential poll result does move the state of Missouri back into John McCain’s column and moves him to within 8 electoral votes of Hillary, 273-265. McCain still leads Obama by a 284-254 margin.

For more polls from Missouri, click here.

GA: McCain, Chambliss Cruising

One state Republicans should have no problems in is the state of Georgia. The latest Presidential poll has John McCain ahead of both Democrats by double digits.

PRESIDENT - GEORGIA
McCain (R) 53%
Obama (D) 39%
McCain (R) 48%
Hillary (D) 37%

In the US Senate race, Saxby Chambliss will have no problems keeping his seat.

US SENATE - GEORGIA
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 51%
Dale Cardwell (D) 37%
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 58%
Vernon Jones (D) 30%
Saxby Chambliss (R-inc) 54%
Jim Martin (D) 33%

These polls were done May 6th among 500 likely voters.

For more polls from Georgia, click here.

Open Thread Thursday!

Sorry, I thought I put this up earlier this morning, but alas I forgot….

My final “CD I Can’t Believe I Actually Own” is actually an album that came out before CDs were around.

I also own the original vinyl record when this first came out. At some point when I was still a wrestling fan, I purchased the WWF entrance music Volume II and III because, well it seemed cool at the time. Of course I couldn’t be without the complete set of WWF Entrance music in CDs. So despite already having the vinyl record, I bought the CD anyway…. Oh, and a political connection, if you watch through the entire video, you will see an appearance by the former Governor Minnesota….

It is starting to dawn on me that the polling is going to become much more sparse in the coming months. Sure we will get a bunch of General election polls here and there, but nowhere near the clip that we have been getting them at in recent months. I guess I am going to have to find something else to talk about….

5/7/2008

WI: McCain Leads Both Democrats

That is what Scott Rasmussen says in a new poll out of the state of Wisconsin.

PRESIDENT - WISCONSIN - GENERAL
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 43%

John McCain (R) 47%
Hillary (D) 43%

This poll was done May 5th among 500 likely voters. This poll also moves Wisconsin’s ten electoral votes into McCain in his match up against Barack Obama, which puts McCain ahead of Obama by a 284-254 margin. Hillary still leads McCain by a mirror 284-254.

For more polls from Wisconsin, click here.

Open Thread Wednesday!

I think I was more surprised that there was actually a video of this song on YouTube than I was that I owned this particular CD. I had no idea what the song was on this CD until I popped it into the CD player and then it came back to me. Today’s “CD I Can’t Believe I Actually Own” is from Scatman John.

I believe this song came out during my freshman year of college since I vaguely remember listening to this in my dorm room. Sad news - according to Wikipedia, Scatman John passed away in 1999 of Lung Cancer.

So now that the Democratic primary is effectively over, is anyone missing the Democratic primary yet?

5/6/2008

What Has Happened To Fox News?

I mentioned this before, but it is worth mentioning again after watching some of the election coverage tonight. In three words - Fox News sucks.

This isn’t ideological critique, just a critique of the entertainment value of the overall coverage of the primary elections. The talking heads on fox news are absolutely boring to listen to. While I don’t agree with much of what they say, I have found myself enjoying listening to Chris Matthews and, egads, Keith Olbermann and their roster of leftists more than I do listening to Fred Barnes, Bill Kristol and Brit Hume on Fox News. John King on CNN is a master of the interactive magic wall that he uses to show results and other items of interest. Fox News tried their own interactive magic wall tonight with Bill Hemmer that was just absolutely pathetic in comparison.

In addition, the graphics on Fox News are too dark and too plain looking, not too mention the text is way too small in comparison to both MSNBC and CNN. Both CNN and MSNBC are bright and cheerful looking with open backgrounds that invite you to watch. Fox News puts this dark blue, and in some cases, black backgrounds behind the talking heads that are just depressing to look.

Maybe it is just me, but when CNN and MSNBC are covering results coming in, I feel like I am watching something important. Watching Fox News cover results seems like I am watching nothing more than an extended version of Special Report with Brit Hume.

Does anyone else agree?

Primary Night Thread

I want to get this out now since I don;t know what time I will be back tonight. I don’t believe any additional polls came out today beyond what I posted earlier today. Apparently some of the pollsters are getting a little gun shy and refusing to release last minute polls for fear of ruining their credibility. By releasing a final poll more than three days ahead of an election, they can always claim they did not pick up last minute changes in the electorate….

Anyway, for results from the official sources, you should be able to find the results from North Carolina here. For Indiana, the link has not yet been activated, but can be found on this page. Of course, the cable networks will surely have the results as well. If anyone finds a better source, feel free to leave it in the comments….

Soak it up now, this could be the final night of the primary….

Polls in Indiana close at 6:00 local time (which varies between 6:00pm and 7:00pm EDT depending on the part of the state). Polls in North Carolina close at 7:30pm EDT.

KY: Hillary Rolling

Earlier this morning, we had numbers showing Hillary crushing Barack Obama in next week’s primary in West Virginia. Today we get two new polls showing Hillary with humungous leads in Kentucky, a state that goes to the polls on May 20th. First the numbers from Scott Rasmussen.

PRESIDENT - KENTUCKY - DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 56%
Barack Obama 31%

This poll was done May 5th among 800 likely voters. And now the numbers from Survey USA.

PRESIDENT - KENTUCKY - DEM PRIMARY
Hillary 62%
Barack Obama 28%

This poll was done May3-5 among 595 likely voters.

So the question is, with Hillary dominating these states that vote after today and the fact that, like her, Obama can’t win the nomination without help from Super Delegates, why would she drop out regardless of what happens tonight? And what does it say about Barack Obama that he is a frontrunner who is still getting crushed by more than 20% in state after state?

Open Thread Tuesday!

On Day Two of “CDs I Can’t believe I Actually Own”, we get this classic from some group called Aqua, which released this song during the year of my college graduation when I apparently was a fan of European Techno music.

The CD also includes other classics as Dr. Jones and Lollipop (Candyman). Great news for all you Aqua fans out there, Wikipedia says they will be reuniting this year for a new tour….

Polls from IN and NC on what could be the final election night of consequence this primary season should Barack Obama pull off a double victory

Posted by Dave at 7:02 am
Filed under: General | Comments (72) | Display Comments On Separate Page