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NJ: Kean Takes Lead Over Menendez

The news is better in New Jersey as Thomas Kean Jr has moved into a small lead over incumbent Democrat Bobby Menendez in the latest poll from Rasmussen.

NEW JERSEY SENATE
Junior Kean (R) 41%
Robert Menendez (D) 39%

This poll was done March 28th among 500 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 12:16 pm
Filed under: 2006 Senate | Comments (11)

11 Responses to “NJ: Kean Takes Lead Over Menendez”

  1. Bitterlaw says:

    Picking up steam!

  2. Bitterlaw says:

    Kean needs to keep down the graveyard vote in Hudson, Essex (Newark)and Camden counties to have chance.

  3. steve l says:

    Looking at the various polls (yes, I know they are only polls and there is no voting blah blah blah)…

    But with all of the talk of that the environment is there for a major Dem push, I’m not sure I see that with what is released. Swann up in PA, Keane in NJ, Topinka in IL.

    yes, there are polls like Gov in OH ans Santorum that show D pick-ups, but it just seems the avalanch is not yet there.

    thoughts anyone?

  4. Bitterlaw says:

    Due to my incredibly narrow, straight ticket voting style I am not the right person to explain it. I just do not understand how a voter could walk into a voting booth and say, I am going to vote for the very conservative Santorum for Senator and the very liberal Rendell for governor. I don’t get it.

  5. mnw says:

    good point

  6. pw says:

    Hey, humans do strange things.:)

  7. Richard G says:

    More likely that there will be a substantial Swann/Casey crossover. First of all, both candidates are closer to the center than either their opponents or their counterparts in the other respective races. Also, although Pennsylvanians normally tend to be among the least likely voters to vote out incumbents, it sounds as though many of them this year are angry at incumbents in general, and will vote out whoever’s currently in office (at least for Senator and Governor.) Conversely, whatever Santorum/Rendell crossover vote there is could be explained by those, still numerous in a state like PA, who will stick with whoever the incumbent is, regardless of party affiliation or ideology.

  8. Zipota says:

    Tom Kean, Jr. (R-NJ) needs to poll at least 55% in order to have a clear advantage since New Jersey continues to trend heavily pro-Democratic electoratewise, which could make Republicans even less electable statewide now and in the future.

  9. pw says:

    Well, go up 13 threads.:)

  10. pw says:

    I guess this NJ race will shift back and forth quite a bit.