Archive for April, 2006

HoCo: Getting Crowded In District 5, County Exec Race

Sunday, April 30th, 2006

The Baltimore Sun is reporting that Jim Adams is joining the battle for the GOP nomination in District 5 Council race. They also mention the possible County Executive candidacy of Stephen Wallis, which was originally reported by The Washington Post last week.

Although long-shot candidates are not often rewarded with victory, there are exceptions that keep the flame of hope burning for people like Howard County’s Jim Adams and C. Stephen Wallis.

Adams, 64, is no novice, embarking on his third try for the GOP nomination for District 5 County Council seat, covering the western county. The Catonsville native has lived near Mount Hebron High School in Ellicott City for 28 years. He lost in 1998 and 2002 to former Councilman Allan H. Kittleman, now a state senator. Adams collected 191 votes his first time out, and 750 votes to Kittleman’s 3,658 in 2002.

Wallis, 55, the principal of Harper’s Choice Middle School, is considering a run for county executive, he said, but he will not make a final decision for several weeks. He also has not decided if he will remain a registered Republican, or switch to Democrat or independent.

As has already been determined, Wallis has been a registered Republican since 1978, but did donate $10 to Ken Ulman in 2003. Mr. Adams has joined the race that already features longtime Republican Greg Fox, who I am a supporter of, and Republican-turned-Democrat-turned-Republican-Again Wayne Livesay. Mr. Adams has already made it less likely that I will be changing my mind anytime soon with his full-throated support for a total ban on smoking in restaurants that he is quoted on in the article.

Also included in this article is a synopsis of the new property tax proposal put out by five of the Republican candidates. The article indicates GOP Executive candidate Chris Merdon is in a wait and see mode. Wayne Livesay claims he hasn’t seen the proposal. Jim Adams did not render an opinion one way or the other in the article. Mr. Adams chided me in the previous post for not including his name, so I give him an opportunity to provide his opinion on this tax proposal in the comments.

Finally, I was updating the Howard County Republican Club website with the new events in May and I was shocked how many different fundraisers will be occurring in the next month alone, for just about every candidate.

Washington Post To Abandon Howard County

Saturday, April 29th, 2006

That is the letter I just received by email from a concerned citizen.

All,

It has come to my attention that the Washington Post has gutted its staff in Howard County and is on its way to closing the Howard County bureau and merging it with the Anne Arundel County bureau. Coverage of Howard County will be severely curtailed and the Howard edition will cease to exist. This is being done, in part, because “Readership Surveys” indicate that we, in Howard County, don’t read news about Howard County.

Whether you are a subscriber, or a website reader, or not a reader at all- the importance of having more than one regional newspaper report on Howard County can not be underrated. It may be too late to reverse the course of these decisions, but I encourage you to take a moment and write to Robert J. McCartney, the Assistant Managing Editor for Metro News at mccartneyr@washpost.com to voice your concerns.

Please forward this to any other Howard County email group to which you belong so that our emails will be enough to make an impact on this decision.

Thank you,
Name withheld

I withheld the name since I am not sure whether the person wanted their name out there.

The truth is, The Post has pretty abandon Howard County already. It is to the point where the only news I ever get about Howard County is stuck in a special section that comes with the Thursday edition. Even that section is getting to be more sparse week-by-week as far as actual news goes. The section has become barely anything more than a future events calendar, Dr. Gridlock, and the local crime log.

Recently, The Post started a “County Connections” blog that I thought was supposed to cover county news in the DC suburbs, but since it started, there have been a grand total of three items from Howard County, one of which was about a dog.

So that leads to the question: If The Post is really abandoning Howard County, is anyone really going to notice?

PA: Swann Retakes Lead In Gov Race

Saturday, April 29th, 2006

While his poll of the Senate race showed Casey expanded his lead over Santorum, Rasmussen’s latest poll in the gubernatorial race shows Republican Lynn Swann retaking the lead against Democrat Ed Rendell.

PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR
Lynn Swann (R) 44%
Ed Rendell (D) 41%

This poll was done April 20th among 500 likely voters

WI: Doyle Up By 4%

Saturday, April 29th, 2006

Democratic Governor Jim Doyle’s lead slips again in the latest poll from Scott Rasmussen.

WISCONSIN GOVERNOR
Jim Doyle (D) 47%
Mark Green (R) 43%

This poll was done April 20th among 500 likely voters.

NY: Another F’n Poll

Saturday, April 29th, 2006

For some inexplicable reason, Strategic Vision decided to do yet another poll from the state of New York. Apparently they think we don’t already have enough polls of this state.

NEW YORK GOVERNOR
Eliot Spitzer 63%
John Faso 26%

Eliot Spitzer 65%
William Weld 24%

Tom Suozzi 38%
John Faso 27%

Tom Suozzi 39%
William Weld 24%

NEW YORK GOVERNOR – DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Eliot Spitzer 70%
Tom Suozzi 12%

NEW YORK GOVERNOR – GOP PRIMARY
John Faso 23%
William Weld 17%

NEW YORK SENATE
Hillary Clinton 58%
John Spencer 24%

Hillary Clinton 59%
Kathleen “K.T.” McFarland 24%

Rudy Giuliani 44%
Hillary Clinton 41%

This waste of time and money was done April 21-23 among 1200 registered voters. Open plea to Strategic Vision: Next time, use the money you have set aside for a New York poll and do a poll of maryland instead.

Open Thread 04/28/06

Friday, April 28th, 2006

You are on your own this morning….

MD: Duncan Finally Picks Running Mate

Thursday, April 27th, 2006

It is over three months later than he originally promised, but The Washington Post reports Doug Duncan has finally picked a running mate.

Montgomery County Executive Douglas M. Duncan has tapped Baltimore lawyer Stuart O. Simms as his running mate in the Maryland governor’s race and will announce his selection next week, according to leading Duncan allies and others familiar with the process.

“I am happy and pleased to confirm the choice,” said Patricia C. Jessamy, Baltimore’s top prosecutor, who has endorsed Duncan and advised him on his lieutenant governor pick.

Simms is a former state’s attorney in Baltimore who held two cabinet posts under Gov. Parris N. Glendening (D): secretary of juvenile justice and secretary of public safety and correctional services.

Who? Okay, that was cruel. I’m actually interested to read more about Simms in the coming days to see what kind of pick he may turn out to be. Unlike Martin O’Malley’s choice, Anthony Brown, Simms is completely unknown to me. Brown had built up a positive public persona in the local media prior to his choice by O’Malley, mostly due to his service in Iraq. Simms, on the other hand, is probably unknown to 95% of Marylanders, if not higher.

In the big picture, at least Duncan finally gets this albatross off his neck of not having a running mate. His campaign manager Scott Arceneaux was out last year telling everyone Duncan would make his pick by mid-January, the start of the General Assembly session. When it didn’t occur, it began to appear like Duncan couldn’t find anyone willing to actually run with him. The lack of a running mate began to show up in just about every news story about Duncan and was really clouding his main message. We will see if this finally gets Duncan’s campaign off of dead center and boosts him in his run against the frontrunner O’Malley.

HoCo: Another Property Tax Cut Proposal

Thursday, April 27th, 2006

Last month, a debate was held among three of Howard County’s bloggers over two different property tax cut plans being offered by County politicians. In Democratic County Executive Jim Robey’s plan, he called for a cut in the rate a home is assessed by $0.03/$100. Republican Councilman Charles Feaga proposed a lowering of the cap on the yearly rise in the taxable assessment from 5% to 4%. In the debate, I believe the final conclusion was that Feaga’s plan was better for a property owner in the long term, especially those that have settled into a home and plan on living in that home for a while. However, and the plan that I figured would be better for me personally, Robey’s plan would be better in the short term for a property owner, especially for homeowners who plan on moving to a more expensive home in less than seven years. In other words, it depended on your particular situation.

The fatal flaw with Feaga’s plan, and the reason I was a supporter of Robey’s plan, is that someone like myself who hopes to move into a larger house someday, really doesn’t get as large a benefit from Feaga’s plan until much, much later down the road. The problem is that when a person sells their home and moves to another home, the homeowner has to start paying property taxes on the full-assessed value of the new home and loses the savings they had with the cap on the rise in the taxable assessment in their old home. In other words, the homeowner has to basically start over from ground zero and any “tax cut” in their property taxes they realized in their old home is gone. Robey’s plan, at least offered a concrete cut that would be felt by everyone and , if one moved into a more expensive home, the tax on the new home would still be lower than it is today.

It appears that the Republican candidates running for County Council on the Republican ticket have come up with a plan to remedy this fatal flaw in the current tax law. From today’s Howard County Times.

Howard County Council chairman Christopher Merdon, a Republican from Ellicott City, said this week he might introduce a property tax relief plan offered by Republican candidates to the council.

But Merdon, who is running for county executive, said the cost to the county of the proposal must be determined before he will back it.

Republican County Council candidates Tom D’Asto, Gina Ellrich, Greg Fox, Tony Salazar and Donna Thewes unveiled the plan this week. It is aimed at giving homeowners a tax break when they buy a more expensive home in the county.

The plan would allow homeowners to transfer some of the savings they realize from the county’s cap on property tax increases to a more expensive home in the county.

The best I can tell from the article, basically if a homeowner sells his home and moves to a more expensive home in Howard County, the homeowner will be able to transfer the difference between the current taxable assessment and the full assessment of the home being sold to the home being purchased and immediately lower the taxable assessment on the new home. In other words, say my current home is valued at $300,000, but thanks to the cap on the rise in the taxable assessed value of the home, I only have to pay taxes on $250,000 of the home, a difference of $50,000. I then purchase a home for $500,000. Under current tax law as well as Feaga’s tax cut proposal, my first year property tax would be based on the full-assessed value of the home, $500,000. This new plan appears to say that I would be able to take the $50,000 between the full value and taxable value of my old home and transfer that to my new home, meaning my first year’s property tax in that new home would be based on $500,000-$50,000, or $450,000. I would still pay a higher tax on the more expensive home, but I would not lose the savings in my property taxes from my old home. It also gives people an incentive when they decide to move, to stay in Howard County.

I don’t know if there are any limits to how much of the savings on the old home you can transfer to the new home, which could change my mind, but on the surface this looks like a good way to remedy the problem with the current tax law. Of course, I have no hope it would ever be passed under the current County Council or signed into law by the current County Executive. But it is a bold plan and if the GOP manages to take control of the County Council and County Executive seat later this year, it is definitely a plan worth debating.

I did get a chuckle out of the last line of the article, this quote from HoCo Democratic Chairman Tony McGuffin.

“That’s a complicated scheme that will require some analysis to see who it helps and who it hurts,” he said. “So, no comment at this time, but I will look into it.”

Excuse me, but how would a plan that allows all homeowners to keep more of their own money if they decide to move from one part of Howard County to another part possibly “hurt” anyone? And how is it “complicated”? I was able to describe the plan pretty well, I believe, in one succinct paragraph. Am I wrong?

Back to the third paragraph of the story, I did notice the absence of Wayne Livesay as a candidate backing this plan. Now whether that is because he wasn’t even asked to join on to the plan or whether it is because he doesn’t support it, I do not know. Maybe someone who helped develop this plan or is in the know can tell me why Livesay is not included in the list of Republican candidates supporting this plan.

UPDATE (6:59pm): I guess I should have read the others before posting as they both already commented on this. Basically, Hayduke doesn’t like it because he thinks homeowners already get too many benefits of home ownership while renters don’t get enough while hocoblog likes the proposal and argues it also helps people who want to downsize their home in their later years. Read them both….

RI: Chafee Leads Whitehouse, Laffey Doesn’t

Thursday, April 27th, 2006

The latest poll from The Bureau of Government Research Services (BGRS) at Rhode Island College shows Lincoln Cafee with a double-digit lead over Democratic Sheldon Whitehouse while the conservative’s favorite in RI, Steve Laffey, trailing by about the same margin.

RHODE ISLAND SENATE
Lincoln Chafee (R) 51%
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 32%

Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 50%
Steve Laffey (R) 27%

RHODE ISLAND SENATE – GOP PRIMARY
Chaffe 56%
Laffey 28%

The other Democratic candidate, Matt Brown, dropped out of the race yesterday. No matchups were given, but 52% of Rhode Islanders say the Republican Governor Don Carcieri deserves re-election. This poll was done April 17-20 among 364 registered voters.

NJ: Menendez Up By 6% Over Kean

Thursday, April 27th, 2006

Quinnipiac University continues to release polls that are further to the left than everyone else. Their latest poll in teh New Jersey Senate race puts Bob Menendez ahead of Thomas Kean Jr by 6%.

NEW JERSEY SENATE
Bobby Menendez (D) 40%
Junior Kean (R) 34%

This poll was done April 18-24 among 1414 registered voters.