Archive for the ‘2010 Senate – KY’ Category

Conway Takes Lead In KY, GOP Leads Both Races In GA

Thursday, August 19th, 2010

Some more polls tonight starting with the first public poll this election cycle to ever show Jack Conway ahead of Rand Paul in the US Senate race in Kentucky. It comes from Braun Research.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Braun Research)
Jack Conway (D) 42%
Rand Paul (R) 415

This poll was done among 801 likely voters. For more polls from Kentucky, click here. Meanwhile in Georgia, a poll by Insider Advantage puts Republican Nathan Deal ahead of the former Governor of Georgia, Roy Barnes.

Nathan Deal (R) 45%
Roy Barnes (D) 41%
John Monds (L) 5%

Johnny Isakson (R) 47%
Michael Thurmond (D) 35%
Chuck Donovan (L) 7%

This poll was done August 18th among 554 likely voters.

Paul Leads In KY By 9%

Wednesday, August 18th, 2010

Now for the poll that Scott Rasmussen said he would release at Noon today, but is finally out now – the US Senate race in Kentucky.

Rand Paul (R) 49%
Jack Conway (D) 40%

This poll was done August 17th among 500 likely voters.

Paul Leads Conway By 3%

Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

We have another poll for the state of Kentucky from Braun Research that shows Rand Paul leading Jack Conway by 3%.

Rand Paul (R) 41%
Jack Conway (D) 38%

This poll was done July 19-21 among 803 likely voters.

Lunch Time Polls (Paul Leads In KY, GOP Leads In MI)

Wednesday, June 2nd, 2010

Right after the Kentucky primary election last month, Scott Rasmussen claimed Rand Paul held a 25% lead over Democrat Jack Conway. In two weeks, that lead has now shrunk down to 8% in his latest poll for the US Senate race in Kentucky.

Rand Paul (R) 49%
Jack Conway (D) 41%

So to believe Rasmussen, you would have to believe there was a 17% swing in the Kentucky electorate in the span of less than two weeks. MMMkay. This poll was done June 1st among 500 likely voters. Rasmussen’s email today does not indicate he will be releasing any additional state polls today. Maybe the Memorial Day holiday prevented him from doing any polling over the weekend, although this poll was done after the holiday. Who knows with Rasmussen? As promised, we have the new poll numbers from Public Policy Polling for the state of Michigan and they show Republicans in solid position to pick up this seat, especially if they nominate Rick Snyder.


Mike Cox (R) 38%
Virg Bernero (D) 36%

Pete Hoekstra (R) 41%
Virg Bernero (D) 34%

Rick Snyder (R) 44%
Virg Bernero (D) 28%

Mike Bouchard (R) 39%
Virg Bernero (D) 34%

Virg Bernero (D) 31%
Tom George (R) 30%

Mike Cox (R) 40%
Andy Dillon (D) 32%

Pete Hoekstra (R) 41%
Andy Dillon (D) 32%

Rick Snyder (R) 46%
Andy Dillon (D) 26%

Mike Bouchard (R) 38%
Andy Dillon (D) 29%

Tom George (R) 32%
Andy Dillon (D) 31%

This poll was done May 25-27 among 890 registered voters. Enjoy your lunch….

Paul Leads By 6% Over Conway

Sunday, May 30th, 2010

We have a second poll out of Kentucky that shows Rand Paul still ahead of Democrat Jack Conway despite what many considered a downright awful week for Rand Paul. This time it comes from Survey USA.

Rand Paul (R) 51%
Jack Conway (D) 45%

This poll was done May 25-27 among 569 likely voters. Good Sunday morning to everyone….

KY: Paul Dominates Conway

Thursday, May 20th, 2010

We have our first poll out of Kentucky for the US Senate race since the primary from Scott Rasmussen and it shows Republican Rand Paul dominating Democrat Jack Conway.

Rand Paul (R) 59%
Jack Conway (D) 34%

This poll was done May 19th among 500 likely voters. Also from Rasmussen, a poll showing Jan Brewer’s standing soaring after the new immigration laws were passed in Arizona.

Jan Brewer (inc) 45%
Dean Martin 18%
Buz Mills 18%
John Munger 3%

This poll was done May 17th among 541 likely voters. Enjoy your lunch….

Tuesday Morning Tidbits (w/ Polls from KY, IL, CA)

Tuesday, May 18th, 2010

Today is primary day. YAY!

Wow, things got a little busy on here last night. I guess I should have checked things when I got home instead of going right to sleep….

Damn, Flash Forward is being canceled. I am already losing Lost and 24 at the end of this TV season, although to be perfectly honest, those shows have gotten to be so tedious by this point that I am only watching them because I want to see the end after putting so much effort into both series from the beginning, not because they have actually been that great this year….

We have the leading Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Connecticut, who is leading by upwards of 20% in some polls, decide it was a good idea to fabricate his military history. He’s ahead by 20%! Why on earth does he even have to lie?!

The infamous Revered Jeremiah Wright is not too happy with Barack Obama. I chuckled at this line from the article.

“I am ‘radioactive,’ Sir. When Obama threw me under the bus, he threw me under the bus literally!” he wrote.

Well actually he did not LITERALLY throw him under the bus, but whatever….

As we head into primary day in multiple states, we have one final poll from Magellan Strategies for the Republican primary in Kentucky showing that it is pretty clear Rand Paul is going to be the Republican nominee for the US Senate, despite what Mitch McConnell wants.

Rand Paul 55%
Trey Grayson 30%

This poll was done May 16th among 809 likely voters. Looking beyond primary day, there was an internal poll released by Democratic nominee for the US Senate in Illinois from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research claiming he is tied with Republican Mark Kirk.

Mark Kirk (R) 44%
Alexi Giannoulias 44%

This poll was done May 11-13 among 600 likely voters. In California, a new poll from some group called M4 Strategies claims Meg Whitman is dominating the Republican primary for Governor.

Meg Whitman 49%
Steve Poizner 31%

This poll was done May 12-16 among 600 “high propensity” voters.

That is all for me for now as I will be away from the computer until later this afternoon. I am sure Scott Rasmussen will release some polls later today, but other than that, I know of nothing coming out today. Of course, that probably means there will be eight or nine polls out before I can even get back to a computer…that is the way things seem to work….

And never fear, there will be posts-a-plenty later tonight when the polls start closing.

Monday Morning Tidbits (w/ KY Poll)

Monday, May 17th, 2010

Let’s get back to normal, starting with Public Policy Polling’s look at tomorrow’s US Senate primary in Kentucky.

Rand Paul 52%
Trey Grayson 34%
Gurley Martin 4%
John Stephenson 2%
Jon Scribner 1%

This one is about in the book for Paul. This poll was done May 15-16 among 1065 likely voters. Staying with PPP for a moment, they claim Joe Sestak leads Arlen Specter by a 44%-35% margin in the 12th Congressional District in Pennsylvania, but can’t tell how this would play statewide. Maybe one of our PA commenters can give us an idea what this would mean statewide.

Whatever you think of PPP, at least they are willing to stick their necks out on the line with last minute polls. Scott Rasmussen has basically refused to release any last minute polls for any close race recently, always posting his last poll at least a week before the actual election (Texas, Massachusetts and now PA) so he can always claim his poll was too far away from the election in case it turns out to be wrong. Wimp.

Survey USA put out a bunch of Congressional primary polls last Friday that I never got to. I am not going to post them in this post, but you can find them here if you are interested.

I think the two days are going to be dominated by the primary races in Pennsylvania, Kentucky and Arkansas as well as the Special Election in Pennsylvania. Basically, the real question marks going into tomorrow appear to be a decision on the Democratic nominees for the US Senate in PA and KY, as well as whether Republicans can finally win a US House Special Election. This post will be the start….

KY: Paul, Mongiardo Continue To Lead Primary Races

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

Some polling in the late night from Research 2000, who were paid by someone other than the leftists at Daily Kos for this latest poll for the US Senate primaries in Kentucky.

KENTUCKY – GOP PRIMARY (Research 2000)
Rand Paul 44%
Trey Grayson 32%
John Stephenson 3%
Gurley Martin 3%
Jon Scribner 1%

Dan Mongiardo 39%
Jack Conway 32%
Darlene Price 6%
James Buckmaster 4%
Maurice Sweeney 2%

This poll was done May 2-4 among 500 likely voters in each party. The primary election for this race is May 18th.

Tomorrow, we go overseas for the UK elections….

KY: Grayson Is Stronger General Election Candidate

Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

Public Policy Polling has the next part of their Kentucky poll out and, as is becoming the norm, shows the race more favorable for the Democratic candidates than the Rasmussen poll that came out two days ago.


Trey Grayson (R) 42%
Jack Conway (D) 34%

Rand Paul (R) 41%
Jack Conway (D) 40%

Trey Grayson (R) 43%
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 35%

Rand Paul (R) 42%
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 38%

This poll was done May 1-2 among 946 registered voters.