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July 14, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 9% Nationally

NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have released the General Election numbers from their latest poll and it shows Joe Biden up on Donald Trump by 9%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (NBC/WSJ)
Joe Biden (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

Bernie Sanders (D) 50%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 45%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 7-9 among 800 registered voters.

July 13, 2019

Warren Leads Dem Field in NH

Change Research released a new poll for the state of New Hampshire yesterday that shows Elizabeth Warren leading what is becoming the pack of five that seem to be at the top of every poll of late.

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE – DEM PRIMARY (Change)
Elizabeth Warren 22%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Joe Biden 19%
Kamala Harris 15%
Pete Buttigieg 13%
Tulsi Gabbard 3%
Everyone Else 1% or less

This poll was done July 6-9 among 1084 registered primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 8:15 pm
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July 11, 2019

Biden Leads Dems Nationally By 7% and in SC By 21%

NBC News and The Wall Street Journal have a poll out today showing Joe Biden holding onto a 7% lead over Elizabeth Warren with Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders tied for third place.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (NBC/WSJ)
Joe Biden 26%
Elizabeth Warren 19%
Kamala Harris 13%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 7%
Andrew Yang 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Everyone Lese 1% or less

This poll was done July 7-9 among 400 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in South Carlina, Biden still holds a dominating lead on the field according to a new poll from Fox News.

PRESIDENT – SOUTH CAROLINA – DEM PRIMARY (Fox News)
Joe Biden 35%
Bernie Sanders 14%
Kamala Harris 12%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Cory Booker 3%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
John Delaney 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done July 7-10 among 801 registered Democratic primary voters.

Posted by Dave at 8:56 pm
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July 9, 2019

Biden Doubles Up on Dem Field in Primary

Either the Kamala Harris surge has actually stalled or Emerson College is polling the same group of voters that ABC News and The Washington Post are. Their latest poll is showing Joe Biden doubling up on three second place candidates in the Democratic primary.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (Emerson)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 15%
Elizabeth Warren 15%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Andrew yang 3%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Michael Bennet 1%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Everyone Else <1%

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Emerson)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Bernie Sanders (D) 51%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Kamala Harris (D) 49%

Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
Pete Buttigieg (D) 49%

This poll was done July 6-8 among 1100 registered voters.

July 7, 2019

ABC/WaPo: Biden Leads Trump By Double Digits, Trump Much Closer All Other Dems

ABC News and The Washington Post, which you will remember were still showing Joe Biden as far away the front runner in the Democratic primary, have released the General Election numbers from this same poll showing Biden also the only Democrat who had a clear lead over Donald Trump.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden (D) 53%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

Kamala Harris (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

Bernie Sanders (D) 49%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%

Pete Buttigieg (D) 47%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 875 registered voters. It is not surprising their pro-Biden numbers in the primary seemed to have carried over to the General Election numbers. It’ll be interesting to see how ABC News and The Washington Post compare to others on the next go around. Will they still be more pro-Biden than others or be more inline with others.

July 5, 2019

Biden Leads Trump By 4% Nationally

On this day after Independence Day, we have a new poll from Rasmussen Reports that shows Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump by 4%.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Rasmussen)
Joe Biden (D) 48%
Donald trump (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done June 23-July 2 among 4500 likely voters.

July 3, 2019

Biden Falls Into Third Place Among Dems in IA

We may in the process of seeing the early collapse of Joe Biden and eventual early withdrawal of Biden slowly building before our eyes. While ABC News and The Washington Post haven’t completely bought into it yet in their poll this morning, a lot of other national polls are showing the quick collapse of Biden and now we have a new Iowa poll from Focus on Rural America and David Binder Research that has Biden already falling into third place in the state of Iowa.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (FORA/DBR)
Elizabeth Warren 20%
Kamala Harris 18%
Joe Biden 17%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Amy Klobuchar 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
john Delaney 1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
Michael Bennet 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Bill deBlasio 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 29-July 1 among likely Democratic caucus goers.

ABC/WaPo: Biden Still Leads Dem Field By Double Digits, Harris a Distant Third

ABC News and The Washington Post apparently are not buying in fully to what CNN and Quinnipiac University are selling showing Kamala Harris surging to within the margin of error of Joe Biden in the Democratic race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (ABC/WaPo)
Joe Biden 30%
Bernie Sanders 19%
Kamala Harris 13%
Elizabeth Warren 12%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Julian Castro 3%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Beto O’Rourke 2%
Michael Bennet 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Hickenlooper1%
Jay Inslee 1%
Marianne Williamson 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 397 registered Democratic voters. If you remember yesterday, Quinnipiac University released a poll over the same exact June 28-July 1 time period and claimed Harris is within 2% of Biden. AS shown above, ABC News and The Washington Post has that spread at 17%!

July 2, 2019

Harris Moves To Within 2% of Biden Nationally, Within 8% in IA

Quinnipiac University is joining CNN in showing Kamala Harris surging and Joe Biden fading in the Democratic primary race.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 22%
Kamala Harris 20%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Cory Booker 3%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Julian Castro 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Everyone Else 0%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among 554 Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile in Iowa, Harris has also moved into second place here as well and is now within single digits of Biden according to USA Today and Suffolk University.

PRESIDENT – IOWA – DEM CAUCUS (USAT/Suffolk)
Joe Biden 24%
Kamala Harris 16%
Elizabeth Warren 13%
Bernie Sanders 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Amy Klobuchar 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-July 1 among likely caucus goers.

Posted by Dave at 9:36 pm
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July 1, 2019

Biden Collapses While Harris and Warren Surge in Latest CNN Poll

CNN released a new poll that shows Joe Biden, and to a lesser extent Bernie Sanders, collapsing among Democratic primary voters while Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are surging.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (CNN)
Joe Biden 22% (-10)
Kamala Harris 17% (+9)
Elizabeth Warren 15% (+8)
Bernie Sanders 14% (-4)
Pete Buttigieg 4% (-1)
Cory Booker 3% (0)
Beto O’Rourke 3% (-2)
Amy Klobuchar 2% (0)
Secretary Julian
Castro 1% (-1)
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 28-30 among 656 registered Democratic primary voters. The Hill and HarrisX meanwhile show a different picture showing Sanders hanging onto second place, but also showing Harris moving ahead of Warren.

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – DEM PRIMARY (The Hill/HarrisX)
Joe Biden 33%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Kamala Harris 11%
Elizabeth Warren 9%
Pete Buttigieg 6%
Beto O’Rourke 4%
Cory Booker 2%
Julian Castro 1%
Kirstin Gillibrand 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Steve Bullock 1%
Michael Bennet 1%
Andrew yang 1%
Mike Gravel 1%
Everyone Else <1%

This poll was done June 29-30 among 440 registered Democratic primary voters.

GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS