2020 EV WATCH
Trump : 188
Biden : 350
Click here

2020 SENATE WATCH
GOP : 49
DEM : 49
IND : 2

EGO BOOST
GALLUP
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP
PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
RASMUSSEN REPORTS
    Search

    July 15, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump in AZ, FL, MI, NC, PA, and WI

    Change Research is back at it again with their latest poll of six battleground states won by Trump in 2016 and they show all six still in Biden’s camp this time around.

    PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 47%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 51%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 45%

    PRESIDENT – WISCONSIN (Change Research)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    At the US Senate level, as before Democrats are leading in all three states being contested from above, including two seats currently held by Republicans.

    US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Change Research)
    Gary Peters (D-inc) 50%
    John James (R) 43%

    US SENATE – ARIZONA (Change Research)
    Mark Kelly (D-inc) 52%
    Martha McSally (R-inc) 45%

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (Change Research)
    Cal Cunningham (D) 49%
    Thom Tillis (R-inc) 42%

    These polls were all done June 10-12 among likely voters.

    July 14, 2020

    Daines Leads Bullock By 2% in MT, Biden Leads Trump By 10% in FL

    For a second straight day, we get a new poll for the state of Montana. This one comes from Civiqs and Daily Kos and gives slightly better numbers for Republicans across the board except for the Presidential race.

    PRESIDENT – MONTANA (Civiqs/DK)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 49%
    Joe Biden (D) 45%

    US SENATE – MONTANA (Civiqs/DK)
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 49%
    Steve Bullock (D) 47%

    US HOUSE – MONTANA (Civiqs/DK)
    Matt Rosendale (R) 49%
    Kathleen Williams (D) 47%

    GOVERNOR – MONTANA (Civiqs/DK)
    Greg Gianforte (R) 47%
    Mike Cooney (D) 44%

    this poll was done July 11-13 among 873 registered voters. A new poll from OH Predictive Insights continues to show Republican Martha McSally trailing Democrat Mark Kelly.

    US SENATE – ARIZONA (OHPI)
    Mark Kelly (D) 52%
    Martha McSally (R-inc) 43%

    This poll was done July 6-7 among 600 likely voters. Finally, a new poll form Gravis Marketing for the state of Florida.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Gravis)
    Joe Biden (D) 53%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    This poll was done July 13th among 529 likely voters.

    July 13, 2020

    Bullock Leads Daines By 2% in MT

    Earlier today, Public Policy Polling released a new poll in the state of Montana that shows the Republican-held US Senate seat is in danger of flipping to the Democrats.

    PRESIDENT – MONTANA (PPP)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 51%
    Joe Biden (D) 42%

    US SENATE – MONTANA (PPP)
    Steve Bullock (D) 46%
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 44%

    US HOUSE – MONTANA (PPP)
    Kathleen Williams (D) 445
    Matt Rosendale (R) 44%

    GOVERNOR – MONTANA (PPP)
    Greg Gianforte (R) 46%
    Mike Cooney (D) 42%

    this poll was done July 9-10 among 1224 registered voters.

    July 12, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump By 5% in One Poll in TX, Trump Leads By 1% in Another

    Trouble for Donald Trump in what should be an easy state for him to retain, the state of Texas, in a new poll from YouGov and CBS News.

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (CBS News/YouGOV)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
    Joe Biden (D) 45%

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (CBS Newws/YouGov)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (YouGov/CBS News)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
    Joe Biden (D) 46%

    At the US Senate level, John Cornyn appears to be in better shape for the GOP.

    US SENATE – TEXAS (YouGov/CBS News)
    John Cornyn (R-inc) 43%
    Royce West (D) 37%

    John Cornyn (R-inc) 44%
    MJ Hegar (D) 36%

    US SENTE – ARIZONA (YouGov/CBS News)
    Mark Kelly (D) 48%
    Martha McSally (R-inc0 42%

    These polls were done July 7-10 among 1185 likely voters in TX< 1206 likely voters in FL and 1087 likely voters in AZ. A more dire picture for Trump in Texas comes from the University of Texas at Tyler despite better numbers for Cornyn in this poll.

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (UTT)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donld Trump (R-inc) 43%

    US SENATE – TEXAS (UTT)
    John Cornyn (R-inc) 43%
    Royce West (D) 28%

    John Cornyn (R-inc) 42%
    MJ Hegar (D) 29%

    This poll was done June 29-July 7 among 1677 likely voters.

    July 11, 2020

    Tuberville Leads Sessions by 16%, Jones by 8% in AL

    Yesterday we received a new poll from Auburn University at Montgomery that shows Donald Trump well ahead of Joe Biden and shows the Republicans’ their best chance of picking up a seat in the US Senate.

    PRESIDENT – ALABAMA (AUM)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 55%
    Joe Biden (D) 41%

    US SENATE – ALABAMA (AUM)
    Tommy Tuberville (R) 44%
    Doug Jones (D-inc) 36%

    Jeff Sessions (R) 49%
    Doug Jones (D-inc) 43%

    US SENATE – ALABAMA – GOP PRIMARY RUNOFF (AUM)
    Tommy Tuberville 47%
    Jeff Sessions 31%

    This poll was done July 2-9 among 558 registered voters.

    July 9, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump By 4% in NC, Trump Leads Biden By 3% in AK

    In North Carolina, Public Policy Polling is showing Joe Biden maintaining his lead over Donald Trump.

    PRESIDENT – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
    Joe Biden (D) 50%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (PPP)
    Cal Cunningham (D) 47%
    Thom Tillis (R-inc) 39%

    This poll was done July 7-8 among 818 registered voters. Meanwhile in Alaska, PPP shows Trump is clinging to a 3% lead over Biden while Republicans could be on the verge of losing the US House seat.

    PRESIDENT – ALASKA (PPP)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 48%
    Joe Biden (D) 45%

    US SENATE – ALASKA (PPP)
    Dan Sullivan (R-inc) 39%
    Al Gross (D) 34%

    US HOUSE – ALASKA – CD AL (PPP)
    Alyse Galvin (D) 43%
    Don Young (R-inc) 41%

    This poll was done July 7-8 among 1081 registered voters.

    July 6, 2020

    Incumbent GOP US Senators Trail in ME and IA

    Earlier today we received a new poll from Public Policy Polling for the state of Maine that has Susan Collins trailing Democrat Sara Gideon by 4%.

    PRESIDENT – MAINE (PPP)
    Joe Biden (D) 53%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 42%

    US SENATE – MAINE (PPP)
    Sara Gideon (D) 46%
    Susan Collins (R-inc) 42%

    This poll was done July 2-3 among 1022 registered voters. In Pennsylvania, The Trafalgar Group has Joe Biden up by 5% over Donald Trump in a new poll today.

    PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Trafalgar)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 43%

    This poll was done June 29-July 2 among 1062 likely voters. And finally for the moment, a new poll by GQR Research in the state of Iowa has another Republican US Senator trailing her Democratic opponent.

    US SENATE – IOWA (GQR)
    Theresa Greenfield (D) 49%
    Joni Ernst (R-inc) 47%

    This poll was done June 23-28 among 800 likely voters.

    July 4, 2020

    Trump/Biden Tied in FL

    Happy 4th of July to all! This morning we have a new poll from The Trafalgar Group showing a tie between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in the all-important state of Florida (technically in the results, Trump leads by 0.04%.

    PRESIDENT – FLORIDA (Trafalgar)
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%
    Joe Biden (D) 46%

    This poll was done June 29-July 2 among 1072 likely voters.

    July 2, 2020

    Biden Leads Trump in TX By 2%

    We have another poll this morning just posted by Public Policy Polling that was done for by EMILY’s List in the state of Texas that has Joe Biden now ahead of Donald Trump in the state of Texas.

    PRESIDENT – TEXAS (PPP)
    Joe Biden (D) 48%
    Donald Trump (R-inc) 46%

    US SENATE – TEXAS (PPP)
    John Cornyn (R-inc) 42%
    MJ Hegar (D) 35%

    This poll was done June 24-25 among 729 registered voters. Hegar still has to win the primary runoff for the Democrats but he is leading all the public polling I have seen.

    Bullock Leads Daines in MT

    Good morning! We have a new poll from the state of Montana from the University of Montana that has Donald Trump up by double digits over Joe Biden. On the downside for Republicans, current Democratic Governor Steve Bullock is leading the current Republican US Senator incumbent Steve Daines in a bid to flip this seat to Democrats.

    PRESIDENT – MONTANA (University of Montana)
    Donald Trump (R) 52%
    Joe Biden (D) 38%

    US SENATE – MONTANA (University of Montana)
    Steve Bullock (D) 47%
    Steve Daines (R-inc) 43%

    US HOUSE – MONTANA – CD AL (University of Montana)
    Matt Rosendale (R) 45%
    Kathleen Williams (D) 37%

    GOVERNOR – MONTANA (University of Montana)
    Greg Gianforte (R) 46%
    Mike Cooney (D) 36%

    This poll was done June 17-26 among 517 registered voters.

    Posted by Dave at 7:16 am
    Filed under: General | Comments (18) | Display Comments On Separate Page