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July 30, 2014

Perdue Leads Nunn By 9% in GA, Peters Leads Land By 6% in MI

Vox Populi Polling is back and they have put out their view of the US Senate race in Georgia and they have David Perdue with a 9% lead over Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (VPP)
David Perdue (R) 49%
Michelle Nunn (D) 40%

This poll was done July 27-28 among 624 likely voters. It does not appear the gubernatorial ace was included in this poll. Meanwhile, Rasmussen Reports has a new poll from Michigan that shows Terri Lynn Land still struggling to gain on Gary Peters.

US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Rasmussen)
Gary Peters (D) 45%
Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%

This poll was done July 28-29 among 750 likely voters Peters is not running away with the race yet, but Land just can;t seem to gain ground and has been stuck in this low-to-mid single-digit deficit for quite a while now.

Kasich Leads FitzGerald By 12% in OH

Remember way back to a time when people thought John Kasich was a lame duck? Quinnipiac University’s latest poll has him now leading the gubernatorial race in Ohio by 12%.

GOVERNOR – OHIO (Quinnipiac)
John Kasich (R-inc) 48%
Ed FitzGerald (D) 36%

This poll was done July 24-28 among 1366 registered voters.

July 29, 2014

Cotton Leads Pryor By 2% in AR

Some good news for Republicans in Arkansas where we have a second poll this week to show Tom Cotton with a lead over Mark Pryor. This time it comes from Talk Business and Hendrix College.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Hendrix)
Tom Cotton (R) 44%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 42%

This poll was done July 22-25 among 1780 likely voters.

Rauner Leads By 14% Over Quinn in IL

Reboot Illinois paid We Ask America to produce a poll for the gubernatorial race in Illinois and it shows Bruce Rauner opening up a 14% lead over Pat Quinn.

GOVERNOR – ILLINOIS (WAA)
Bruce Rauner (R) 47%
Pat Quinn (D) 33%

This poll was done July 28th among 1087 likely voters.

July 28, 2014

McConnell Leads Grimes By 2% in KY

Some good news tonight from Survey USA where Mitch McConnell holds a 2% over Alison Lundergan Grimes in the hotly contested race in Kentucky.

US SENATE – KENTUCKY (Survey USA)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45%

This poll was done July 18-23 among 604 likely voters.

Carter Leads Deal in GA

We did get more of that poll from Rasmussen Reports that they did in Georgia yesterday.

GOVERNOR – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
Jason Carter (D) 45%
Nathan Deal (R-inc) 44%

This poll was done July 23-24 among 750 likely voters. Something simple to start with on Monday. I am still trying to figure out how to handle the YouGov data that was discussed in the last post as well as elsewhere.

July 27, 2014

Perdue Leads Nunn By 6% in GA

Partially to get a new thread going, here is some good news for Republicans from the first post-primary poll that I am aware of in the state of Georgia shows David Perdue opening up a 6% lead over Michelle Nunn.

US SENATE – GEORGIA (Rasmussen)
David Perdue (R) 46%
Michelle Nunn (D) 40%

This poll was done July 23-24 among 750 likely voters.

July 24, 2014

Tied Race For Gov in NM, Brownback Down By 8% in KS

A new poll from Rasmussen Reports shows that Susana Martinez’s chance at re-election in New Mexico may not be as good as the conventional wisdom has seemed.

GOVERNOR – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Susana Martinez (R-inc) 43%
Gary King (D) 43%

This poll was done July 21-22 among 860 likely voters. The news for Republicans in Kansas seems to be even worse as Sam Brownback has now fallen 8% behind Democrat Paul Davis and Pat Roberts is now below 40% in his bid for re-election according to Survey USA.

GOVERNOR – KANSAS (Survey USA)
Paul Davis (D) 48%
Sam Brownback (R-inc) 40%
Keen Umbehr (L) 5%

US SENATE – KANSAS (Survey USA)
Pat Roberts (R-inc) 38%
Chad Taylor (D) 33%
Greg Orman (I) 14%
Randall Batson (L) 4%

Chad Taylor (D) 34%
Milton Wolf (R) 33%
Greg Orman (I) 14%
Randall Batson (L) 5%

US SENATE – KANSAS – GOP PRIMARY
Pat Roberts 50%
Milton Wolf 30%
DJ Smith 6%
Alvin Zahnter 3%

This poll was done July 17-22 among 1208 likely voters. Meanwhile in New Hampshire, a new poll released by Magellan Strategies puts Scott Brown within 5% of Jeanne Shaheen in teh state of New Hampshire.

US SENATE – NEW HAMPSHIRE (Magellan)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-inc) 46%
Scott Brown (R) 41%

This poll was done July 16-17 among 1618 registered voters.

Open Thread Thursday

Going to be a busy morning for me, so I will leave you with this….

July 23, 2014

Daines Leads Walsh By 4% in MT, Burke Leads Walker By 1% in WI

I guess the race in Montana is getting closer than Republicans had hoped for. Gravis Marketing is out with their latest poll showing Steve Daines lead down to a mere 4%.

US SENATE – MONTANA (Gravis)
Steve Daines (R) 45%
John Walsh (D-inc) 41%
Roger Roots (L) 6%

US HOUSE – MONTANA (Gravis)
Ryan Zinke (R) 47%
John Lewis (D) 35%
Mike Fellows (L) 6%

GOVERNOR – MONTANA (Gravis)
Steve Bullock (D-inc) 46%
Tim Fox (R) 43%

PRESIDENT – MONTANA (Gravis)
Jeb Bush (R) 49%
Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

This poll was done sometime in July among 741 likely voters. Meanwhile in Wisconsin, a new poll from Marquette Law School now has Scott Walker trailing Mary Burke.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Marquette)
Mary Burke (D) 47%
Scott Walker (R) 46%

This poll was done July 17-20 among 549 likely voters. Walker does lead among registered voters by a 46%-45% margin.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 49 4
DEM 49 -4
IND 2 0

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4