February 22, 2012
Romney Leads in MI, Dominates in AZ (Plus National Polls)
Marist College becomes the latest pollster to give us new polls from Michigan and Arizona and the news is at least good for Mitt Romney in the Republican primary in Michigan.
PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN – GOP PRIMARY (Marist)
Mitt Romney 37%
Rick Santorum 35%
Ron Paul 13%
Newt Gingrich 8%PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN (Marist)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Mitt Romney (R) 33%Barack Obama (D-inc) 56%
Newt Gingrich (R) 28%Barack Obama (D-inc) 53%
Ron Paul (R) 31%Barack Obama (D-inc) 55%
Rick Santorum (R) 29%US SENATE – MICHIGAN (Marist)
Debbie Stabenow (D-inc) 53%
Pete Hoekstra (R) 32%
This poll was done February 19-20 among 3149 registered voters and 1147 primary voters. The news is even better for Romney in the state of Arizona.
PRESIDENT – ARIZONA – GOP PRIMARY (Marist)
Mitt Romney 43%
Rick Santorum 27%
Newt Gingrich 16%
Ron Paul 11%PRESIDENT – ARIZONA (Marist)
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Newt Gingrich (R) 40%Ron Paul (R) 43%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 41%Rick Santorum (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%US SENATE – ARIZONA (Marist)
Jeff Flake (R) 42%
Richard Carmona (D) 29%
This poll was done February 19-20 among 2487 registered voters and 987 primary voters. Late yesterday, Public Policy Polling also released new numbers for the US Senate race in Arizona showing Jeff Flake and Wil Cardon both leading Richard Carmona and Don Bivens.
US SENATE – ARIZONA (PPP)
Jeff Flake (R) 46%
Richard Carmona (D) 35%Wil Cardon (R) 37%
Richard Carmona (D) 33%Jeff Flake (R) 46%
Don Bivens (R) 35%Wil Cardon (R) 38%
Don Bivens (D) 32%
This poll was done February 17-19 among 732 registered voters. Now some national polling from Quinnipiac University.
PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (Quinnipiac)
Rick Santorum 35%
Mitt Romney 26%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Ron Paul 11%PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Quinnipiac)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%Barack Obama (D-inc) 47%
Rick Santorum (R) 44%Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Newt Gingrich (R) 39%
This poll was done February 14-20 among 2605 registered voters and 1124 primary voters. Meanwhile, the Associated Press and GfK show a bigger lead for Obama over the Republican field.
PRESIDENT – NATIONAL – GOP PRIMARY (AP/GfK)
Rick Santorum 33%
Mitt Romney 32%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Ron Paul 15%PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (AP/GfK)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Mitt Romney (R) 43%Barack Obama (D-inc) 52%
Rick Santorum (R) 43%Barack Obama (D-inc) 52%
Newt Gingrich (R) 42%
This poll was done February 16-20 among 1000 adults. The “adults” instead of “registered voters” is probably why the margins are much greater in this poll for Obama.
That should be enough to get you started this morning….
February 21, 2012
Romney Leads Santorum by 4% in AZ
We have a new poll from CNN and Opinion Research Corporation showing Mitt Romney with a 4% lead over Rick Santorum in the state of Arizona.
PRESIDENT – ARIZONA – GOP PRIMARY (CNN/ORC)
Mitt Romney 36%
Rick Santorum 32%
Newt Gingrich 18%
Ron Paul 6%
This poll was done February 17-20 among 467 likely voters. In other words, 50% of Republican primary voters in the state of Arizona want the face of the Republican Party to be either Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum. It is just absolutely depressing to think about….
Santorum leads Romney by 4% in MI
Now for some cold water on what started out as a pretty good polling day. The latest poll for the state of Michigan from Scott Rasmussen has Romney trailing Santorum by 4%.
PRESIDENT – MICHIGAN – GOP PRIMARY (Rasmussen)
Rick Santorum 38%
Mitt Romney 34%
Ron Paul 10%
Newt Gingrich 9%
This poll was done February 20th among 750 likely primary voters.
Santorum Up By Double Digits in WA
Public Policy Polling is out with new numbers for the state of Washington showing Rick Santorum leading Mitt Romney by double digits among those likely to attend the caucuses on March 3rd.
PRESIDENT – WASHINGTON STATE – GOP PRIMARY (PPP)
Rick Santorum 38%
Mitt Romney 27%
Ron Paul 15%
Newt Gingrich 12%
This poll was done February 16-19 among 400 likely caucus goers.