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September 30, 2014

PPP Shows Ernst Leading in IA, Cassidy in LA

Public Policy Polling have dumped out new polls for Iowa and Louisiana showing Republicans leading in both races.

US SENATE – LOUISIANA – RUNOFF (PPP)
Bill Cassidy (R) 48%
Mary Landrieu (D-inc) 45%

US SENATE – IOWA (PPP)
Joni Ernst (R) 44%
Bruce Braley (D) 42%
Others 4%

The LA poll was done September 25-28 among 1141 likely voters. The IA poll was done September 25-28 among 1192 likely voters. Gravis Marketing has a new poll in Wisconsin showing Democrat Mary Burke with a 5% lead over Scott Walker.

GOVERNOR – WISCONSIN (Gravis)
Mary Burke (D) 50%
Scott Walker (R-inc) 45%

This poll was done September 22-23 among 908 registered voters. Rasmussen Reports’ email today says they will have gubernatorial polls for Arkansas and Illinois.

September 29, 2014

Another Poll Has Baker Leading Coakley in MA

Add another poll today showing the race in Massachusetts as close as it could be. This poll comes from UMass, WBZ and YouGov.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (YouGov)
Charlie Baker (R) 46%
Martha Coakley (D) 45%

This poll was done September 19-23 among 600 registered voters.

Two Polls Show Guv Race Within 1% in MA, Walker Leads Parnell in AK

The big polling news today is we have two new polls for the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts that show Martha Coakley on the verge of losing again. The polls come from Western New England University.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (WNEC)
Charlie Baker (R) 44%
Martha COakley (D) 43%

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Suffolk)
Martha Coakley (D) 44%
Charlie Baker (R) 43%

I always wondered what happened to Kathleen Kennedy Townsend. Apparently she renamed herself and moved to Massachusetts. The WNEC poll was done September 20-28 and the Suffolk Poll was done September 25-28. In Alaska, Independent (and defacto Democrat) Bill Walker leads Republican Sean Parnell according to Rasmussen Reports.

GOVERNOR – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Bill Walker (I) 47%
Sean Parnell (R-inc) 42%

This poll was done September 23-24 among 813 likely voters. In Illinois, Rasmussen Reports puts Dick Durbin ahead of Jim Oberweis by 14%.

US SENATE – ILLINOIS (Rasmussen)
Dick Durbin (D-inc) 51%
Jim Oberweis (R) 37%

This poll was done September 24-25 among 750 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 5:15 pm
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September 28, 2014

Sunday Polls From NC, LA, ME, RI and NM

This morning, CNN and Opinion Research Corporation put out new polls in North Carolina and Louisiana.

US SENATE – NORTH CAROLINA (CNN/ORC)
Kay Hagan (D-inc) 46%
Thom Tillis (R) 43%
Sean Haugh (L) 7%

US SENATE – LOUISIANA (CNN/ORC)
Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
mary Landrieu (D-inc) 47%

Both polls were done September 22-25 among likely voters. In Maine, the Portland Press Herald and University of New Hampshire put out a new poll showing the gubernatorial race down to 2%.

US SENATE – MAINE (PPH/UNH)
Susan Collins (R-inc) 59%
Shenna Bellows (D) 29%

GOVERNOR – MAINE (PPH/UNH)
Mike Michaud (D) 41%
Paul LePage (R-inc) 39%
Eliot Cutler (I) 14%

This poll was done September 18-25 among 482 likely voters. Rasmussen Reports gave us polls for two blowouts in New Mexico and Rhode Island.

US SENATE – NEW MEXICO (Rasmussen)
Tom Udall (D-inc) 52%
Allen Weh (R) 39%

US SENATE – RHODE ISLAND (Rasmussen)
Jack Reed (D-inc) 61%
Mark Zaccaria (R) 26%

The NM poll was done September 22-23 among 830 likely voters. The RI poll was done September 23-25 among 750 likely voters.

Open Thread Sunday

This is what I have time for now….

2014 Week 4 NFL PIcks

Before we get to this week’s picks, a quick look back at how I did last week. My picks are listed first.

WEEK 3 WINNERS
Atlanta beat Tampa Bay
Philadelphia beat Washington
Cincinnati beat Tennessee
Dallas beat St. Louis
Baltimore beat Cleveland
Detroit beat Green Bay
Indianapolis beat Jacksonville
New England beat Oakland
New Orleans beat Minnesota
Arizona beat San Francisco
Seattle beat Denver
Chicago at N.Y. Jets

WEEK 3 LOSERS
Buffalo lost to San Diego
Houston lost to N.Y. Giants
Miami lost to Kansas City
Carolina lost to Pittsburgh

A rather impressive 12-4 week didn’t do much for me in standings against the so-called experts at ESPN.

SO-CALLED ESPN EXPERTS
Tom Jackson 31-17
Cris Carter 31-17
KC Joyner 30-18
Eric Allen 30-18
Ron Jaworksi 29-19
Seth Wickersham 29-19
Mike Golic 28-20
Mike Ditka 27-21
ME 27-21
Merrill Hoge 27-21
Mark Schlereth 26-22
Cris Mortensen 25-23
Adam Schefter 25-23
Keyshawn Johnson 24-24

Now without further ado, The Hedgehog Report picks for Week 4 of the NFL season.

WEEK 4 NFL PICKSN.Y. Giants at Washington
Green Bay at Chicago 1:00 pm FOX
Detroit at N.Y. Jets 1:00 pm FOX
Carolina at Baltimore 1:00 pm CBS
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh 1:00 pm FOX
Tennessee at Indianapolis 1:00 pm CBS
Miami at Oakland 1:00 pm CBS
Buffalo at Houston 1:00 pm CBS
Jacksonville at San Diego 4:05 pm CBS
Atlanta at Minnesota 4:25 pm FOX
Philadelphia at San Francisco 4:25 pm FOX
New Orleans at Dallas 8:30 pm NBC
New England at Kansas City 8:30 pm ESPN Mon

Enjoy the games!

Posted by Dave at 9:22 am
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September 27, 2014

Ernst Leads Braley By 6% in IA

The Des Moines Register just gave us a new poll for the US Senate race in Iowa and it shows Joni Ernst has opened up a 6% lead over Bruce Braley.

US SENATE – IOWA (DMR)
Joni Ernst (R) 44%
Bruce Braley (D) 38%

This poll was done September 21-24 among 561 likely voters.

Posted by Dave at 8:08 pm
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September 26, 2014

Cotton Leads Pryor By 7% in AR

Rasmussen Reports has given us a new poll showing Tom Cotton starting to pull away from Mark Pryor in the state of Arkansas.

US SENATE – ARKANSAS (Rasmussen)
Tom Cotton (R) 47%
Mark Pryor (D-inc) 40%

This poll was done September 24-25 among 750 likely voters.

Baker Leads Coakley By 2% in MA, Dems Dominate in OR

It is hard to have a bad morning the morning after the Washington Redskins get absolutely demolished at home on national TV. But better than the Redskins getting blown out is listening to local DC sports radio the next morning trashing the team…pure gold….

Is Martha Coakley about to blow another lead in Massachusetts. A few years after going down in flames against Scott Brown, Coakley is now trailing Republican Charlie Baker in the state of Massachusetts according to a new poll from The Boston Globe.

GOVERNOR – MASSACHUSETTS (Boston Globe)
Charlie Baker (R) 40%
Martha Coakley (D) 38%

This poll was done September 21-23 among 400 likely voters. According to Survey USA, Democrats dominates both top races in the state of Oregon.

US SENATE – OREGON (Survey USA)
Jeff Merkley (D-inc) 52%
Monica Wehby (R) 32%

GOVERNOR – OREGON (Survey USA)
John Kitzhaber (D-inc) 50%
Dennis Richardson (R) 38%

No dates were included in the article for this poll.

September 25, 2014

Gardner Leads By 2% in CO, Two Polls Show Sullivan Ahead in AK

Public Policy Polling continues their surprising run of good polls for Republicans with a new poll in Colorado claiming Cory Gardner has a 2% lead over Mark Udall.

US SENATE – COLORADO (PPP)
Cory Gardner (R) 47%
Mark Udall (D-inc) 45%

This poll was done September 19-21 among 652 likely voters. Rasmussen Reports came out with a poll for Alaska that has Dan Sullivan ahead of Mark Begich by 5%.

US SENATE – ALASKA (Rasmussen)
Dan Sullivan (R) 48%
Mark Begich (D-inc) 43%

This poll was done September 23-24 among 713 likely voters. There is some confirmation of this poll from Dittman Research that has Sullivan up by 6%.

US SENATE – ALASKA (Dittman)
Dan Sullivan (R) 49%
Mark Begich (D-inc) 43%

This poll was done September 14-17 among 800 likely voters.

US SENATE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 52 7
DEM 45 -8
IND 3 1

US HOUSE 2014

Party Prediction Gain/Loss
GOP 238 4
DEM 197 -4